MAC - There was a good episode on the MAC on HBO's Real Sports show a few years ago, and Charleston's Dave Weekley show has had some guests on the same subject as well. Here goes:
First the MAC TV deal expires after the 26 football season. Yes, that seems like a long time, but everything runs out eventually. Of course, this was a massive over-bid in today's terms, left over from an era when "everybody" had cable or dish and "everybody" paid ESPN big $$, even if they did not like sports. Something "cord cutting" has freed people from, and by then who knows what the landscape will be? How many people do you know that would not, given free choice, pay a cent for TV sports? I know plenty.
So, the MACers have, even with their current TV $$, have huge subsidy rates. None under 60%, some upwards of 75%. (ours is under 50%). That means students, via fees, or the state, via taxes, are paying upwards of 75 cents of every $1 spent on MAC athletics.
Now, look at some of the MACers. For the most extreme case, the one used by HBO, but they are all similar, look at EMU. 72% subsidy, that is $23 million a year. Majority female student body. And, and this is important, approaching a majority of "non-traditional aged students". That is to say, people displaced by the auto industry's continued decline, going to college at a later point in their life to retrain.
Add to that take a gander at the stands on some random "MACtion" night on ESPN. Nobody is there. Playing on weeknights just doesn't work. Nobody is there on Saturdays either.
Many of the types of students MACers serve today simply have no interest in athletics at all, or, if they do, none in the directional state they are attending over their lifelong Wal-Mart fandom of State U. So, the ESPN $$ run dry, and the economy continues to decline, and more and more taxpayers leave, the MACers have two choices. Convince a state government dealing with things like crime and bad water systems and all of that, that a good use of taxes is football games no one goes to; or convince a student body made up increasingly of people with no interest in the matter, that they should owe several thousand more in student loans for it.
Some schools will soak a combination of the taxpayers and the students to stay I-A. IMHO, Ohio and Miami (not the real one, the one in Ohio) will be among them. Some however, will take a sober look at what is a dead end and move away. The only real question is how many are in each group and what happens if the remainers group is too small and they need a new home or new members for their old one.