Banker
- Pullman Square - Non Sports Talk
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Hey @Rock98Dog, you’re good with numbers and general logic. Maybe you can help answer a question.
Scenario:
A certain “red” candidate received 5.89 million votes in a certain state in 2020, then receives 6.38 million votes in that same state in 2024 (+490,000).
His “blue” opponent received 5.26 million votes in that same certain state in 2020 and another “blue” opponent only received 4.81 million votes in 2024 (-450,000).
Red candidate’s 2020 margin of victory: 5.6%
Red candidate’s 2024 margin of victory: 13.8% (+8.2%)
232 of 254 counties in this state voted for red
candidate in 2020.
242 of 254 counties in this state voted for red
candidate in 2024.
That’s 10 more counties that voted for the red candidate in 2024 than in 2020, for the record.
Further, this same state had 23 red congressional districts and 13 blue in 2020 and in 2024 has 25 red districts and still just 13 blue. That means this state gained in population enough to get two more districts and both went red.
I’ll also throw in the fact that their newly re-elected Senator just upped his margin of victory from 2018 (2.6%) to 2024 (8.6%). This, after receiving the most votes in state history for a senate candidate… outpacing the other red senator’s vote total from the same state two years ago, who held that same record until yesterday.
With all that said…would you classify this particular state as getting redder or bluer?
Scenario:
A certain “red” candidate received 5.89 million votes in a certain state in 2020, then receives 6.38 million votes in that same state in 2024 (+490,000).
His “blue” opponent received 5.26 million votes in that same certain state in 2020 and another “blue” opponent only received 4.81 million votes in 2024 (-450,000).
Red candidate’s 2020 margin of victory: 5.6%
Red candidate’s 2024 margin of victory: 13.8% (+8.2%)
232 of 254 counties in this state voted for red
candidate in 2020.
242 of 254 counties in this state voted for red
candidate in 2024.
That’s 10 more counties that voted for the red candidate in 2024 than in 2020, for the record.
Further, this same state had 23 red congressional districts and 13 blue in 2020 and in 2024 has 25 red districts and still just 13 blue. That means this state gained in population enough to get two more districts and both went red.
I’ll also throw in the fact that their newly re-elected Senator just upped his margin of victory from 2018 (2.6%) to 2024 (8.6%). This, after receiving the most votes in state history for a senate candidate… outpacing the other red senator’s vote total from the same state two years ago, who held that same record until yesterday.
With all that said…would you classify this particular state as getting redder or bluer?