Anyone with a brain, sorry herdman and Michigan, knew that was the case after 2020
My takes on Trump have mostly been in comparing him with the likes of Biden & Crew. I stand by all of that.
As for Trump today, yes, there's no doubt that he's a drain on the candidates across the board, particularly in blue states, as well as states that are tossups. He still wants to make the elections about himself, as opposed to actually endorsing the candidates he claims to endorse. I think the rally in PA this weekend certainly didn't help Oz's cause, but I also think with all the pre-mailed in ballots (prior to the actual debate), Fetterman already had the election basically wrapped up, as I believe the results are showing.
One has to only look at the state of Florida last night, in order to see who the party leader should be. If Trump runs in 2024, he won't win. He can't win. The numbers simply won't work. Worse than that, if Trump runs, he's going to bring down all the national candidates with him. It will be interesting to see if Trump saw what the rest of the nation saw last night. The senate may come down to what Trump says on November 15th, assuming the senate control hinges on a runoff election in Georgia. If Trump tosses his hat into the ring, Walker will lose big. If Trump says he's not running, Walker will probably still lose, but it will be close. With all that said, it's still quite possible the democrats will control the senate regardless, particular if the votes still to be counted in Wisconsin all go to the democratic candidate. Those votes are mostly coming out of Milwaukee, which is probably 70-75% democrat. There's also a couple hick counties not counted that will swing towards Johnson. It's going to be close.
Lastly, I know Democrats are excited about the results, but they still may lose both chambers. I don't think they will, but hard to say today. It's like being excited because you were supposed to lose by four touchdowns, but you only lost by a field goal.