If that is so, then there is no way we win 7 games. No I-AA walkover next year. Miami, not the real one the one in Ohio was 0-6 but is now 6-6 and will get a bowl; NC State is 5-6 in the ACC and can get a bowl if it beats UNC (unlikely) but still it is on the road at an legitimate ACC team; Kent State is 3-8 including a bad loss to a I-AA but two of its other losses are to Top 10 teams (Alabama and Penn State) and seems not to be as bad as its record; and Cincinnati is 4-7 with a game against pretty good Tulsa left to play, but has none of the 4 wins look like anything.
Lose at least 3 of those 4, maybe all 4.
Assume that we see UTSA and Louisiana Tech next year. Both good. 2 losses.
Out of the east, WKU and MTSU are certain losses. Probably ODU as well.
Hopefully we get to play UAB.