The comparative scores actually favor Marshall slightly. They beat Hofstra by 11 and we beat them by 4. But we beat A&T by 1 more point than they did and we beat MSM by 8 more than Maryland did. So in the comparative score category we were better in two out of three. Offensively Maryland has averaged 85 points against the common opponents and Marshall has averaged 90. Defensively Maryland has given up 68 points per game and Marshall has given up 72.
So if the transitive property could be applied to basketball, count us as a slight favorite. However, that isn’t the reality. Basketball is about matchups. We have the likely advantage at guard. But where we are deficient is in the paint. Maryland has two 6’ 10” guys that could give us fits. Bruno Fernando is big at 240 lbs. and averages 16 points and 8 rebounds. Jalen Smith is smaller at 215 and averages 14 and 8. Both get about 25 minutes.
We are really going to need for Bennett to keep out of foul trouble early and give us around 20 minutes. He will need to use his body to keep Fernando from getting the ball too low in the post. I have no clue what the spread will be but I’m guessing that Maryland will be favored, but not overwhelmingly so. Marshall is going to need to shoot well and defensively need to continue the havoc type turnovers they get from their guard play. West, Watson, and Burks are very good defensively, but Elmore is sneaky and crafty defensively. My fear in this matchup is that Maryland will get too many second and third chances with offensive boards. This is really where we will need IB to block out and keep Maryland off the board. He doesn’t necessarily need to get the rebound, just keep the Maryland big bodies away from the rim so Jannson, George, or one of our guards can get the rebound.
This game is winnable but we will need to shoot well and create open floor turnovers. I’m looking forward to it.