There have been 107 QBs taken in the last 9 draft classes, the most in one year was 15, the least was 7 (only one year with less than 10), average just under 12. Sixty-two of those 107 were taken in the 4th round or higher, so right at 7 per year.
You keep saying that Chase would have been a 6th or 7th rounder, but I believe that even with just another year like 2017 he would have been one of the first seven QBs taken. Right now that 6-8 group are guys like Thorson from Northwestern, Stidham from Aurburn and Grier from WVU. None of those guys have a 6'6", 240 frame and Grier is the only one that really even has decent numbers, and that's more system based. All three are projected to be off the board by the 4th round.
There are a lot of bad things with your post, so this will take a while.
First, let's look at Chase's career. He started all three of his years at Marshall. He had the same OC all of those years. He had at least two different QB coaches during that time. In each year, he regressed. That's right. In each of this three years, he regressed.
His completion percentage regressed every single year. His adjusted yards per attempt regressed every single year. His QB rating regressed every single year. His TD/INT ratio was far, far worse in his last year compared to each of his first two years. His number of pass attempts per game regressed every single year. His number of completions per game regressed every single year. His passing yards per game regressed since his freshman season to his last season. His rushing yards regressed from his first year to his last. His yards per rush regressed from his first year to his last.
By all reasonable measures, he became a worse quarterback during his three years at Marshall under different coaches in the same offense. But you're telling me having to learn a new system with yet another position coach was going to allow him to not only stop regressing but improve? Good luck with that.
But let's say he didn't continue his overwhelming trend of regressing. Let's say he played just like 2017. What makes you think that simply playing like he did as a junior would make him any more valuable to a team? Clearly, playing the same means his skills didn't significantly improve. You think a team would draft him simply because the QB pool wasn't as deep? That's not how teams draft, and it definitely isn't how teams draft in the 6th or 7th rounds.
You think that would have somehow led him to being one of the top 7 QBs taken? Do you realize how NFL teams draft, especially later in the draft? They take the most talented player, not what position they may need a practice player to fill. They can easily acquire practice players. If a draft class is weak for a particular position, teams don't simply draft the same number of that position compared with a year that position was deep. They simply draft fewer of that position.
Chase wasn't going to go any higher than the 6th round, and he definitely wasn't going to be a top 7 QB taken. He wasn't getting drafted ahead of Herbert. He definitely wasn't getting drafted ahead of Haskins. He definitely wasn't getting drafted ahead of Daniel Jones. He definitely wasn't getting drafted ahead of Drew Locke. He definitely wasn't getting drafted ahead of Ryan Finley. He absolutely wasn't getting drafted ahead of Grier. Your comments that Grier's success is due to the offensive system is absurd. Grier was ranked as the second best pro-style QB coming out of high school. In comparison, Litton was the 50th ranked pro-style QB. Was Grier's high recruiting ranking because of his success in a certain system in high school, too? He had offers from Florida, Auburn, NC State, North Carolina, Arkansas, Tennessee . . . you realize Chase had one P5 offer (LSU), right? And that offer was dried up before his arrest.
Claiming that Litton would have been drafted ahead of or around Grier is absolutely, entirely, shockingly, astronomically, absurdly, ridiculously, comically, foolishly, preposterously asinine.
If you look at what the writers for NFL.com (they are the guys who have the best access to NFL execs and front office) said about how teams had QBs ranked, Litton wasn't even in the top 15 last year. He would have been very fortunate to have been even #10 this year.
Your claim about being 6'6 really doesn't mean much considering Litton has a 3/4 arm slot delivery which puts his ball at the level of a 6'3 QB.
